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The figure below shows our approach for the real-time monitoring and prediction of NAS safety. It consists of three main components, namely:

  • Safety Analysis and Modeling, which identifies threats to safe flight and develop or integrate models of relevant portions of the NAS, e.g., weather movement, flight navigation, factors that affect pilot and controller workload, etc.

  • Real-Time Safety Monitoring, which takes in measurements from the NAS (e.g., radar positions of flights), flight plans, flight tracks, weather estimates (forecasts), etc. and generates estimates of the current state of the NAS and threats to NAS safety.

  • Prediction of Threats to Safety, which takes in the estimates of the current state of the NAS safety and potential threats, and generates probabilities of encountering threats to safety.


The approach.

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